{"id":3036,"date":"2013-09-06T07:44:34","date_gmt":"2013-09-06T11:44:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=3036"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:05:06","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:05:06","slug":"top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Top 3 Reasons Why The NASDAQ Will Soon Breakout To A New High"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For the past six weeks, the <strong>NASDAQ Composite Index ($COMP)<\/strong> has been uneventfully oscillating in a sideways trading range (a 3% range from the upper channel resistance down to lower channel support).<\/p>\n<p>However, we have identified <strong>three highly reliable technical indicators<\/strong> that point to a strong likelihood of the NASDAQ soon breaking out to a fresh, multi-year high (despite continued weakness in the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones).<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">TABLE OF CONTENTS<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout\/#1_The_Most_Reliable_Indicator_You_Probably_Never_Use\" >1.) The Most Reliable Indicator You Probably Never Use<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout\/#2_Salute_The_Bull_Flag\" >2.) Salute The Bull Flag<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout\/#3_Already_Leading_The_Market_Higher\" >3.) Already Leading The Market Higher<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-reasons-nasdaq-breakout\/#Death_And_Taxes_%E2%80%93_The_Only_Sure_Things\" >Death And Taxes &#8211; The Only Sure Things<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_The_Most_Reliable_Indicator_You_Probably_Never_Use\"><\/span><strong>1.) The Most Reliable Indicator You Probably Never Use<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>We prefer to keep our technical analysis of stocks pretty simple. Although there are literally hundreds of technical indicators at our disposal, we rely primarily on price, volume, support\/resistance levels (such as trendlines and moving averages), and <strong>the<\/strong> <b>relative strength line<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>The relative strength line is a simple leading indicator that allows us to easily see how a stock or ETF is performing against the benchmark S&amp;P 500 Index ($SPX).<em> This is<\/em> <em>not to be confused with the RSI indicator (relative strength index).<\/em><\/p>\n<p>When the relative strength line is outperforming the price action of the stock (or the Nasdaq Composite in this case), it is a reliable bullish signal that often precedes further gains in price.<\/p>\n<p>On the chart below, notice how the relative strength line has already broken out to new highs twice, even though the NASDAQ has been trending sideways to slightly lower. This is a clear sign that institutional funds have been rotating out of the S&amp;P 500 and into the NASDAQ:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"NASDAQ Daily \" alt=\"$Nasdaq relative strength line \" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130906RS.png\" \/><br \/>\n<a name=\"continue\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_Salute_The_Bull_Flag\"><\/span><strong>2.) Salute The Bull Flag<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>While the relative strength line is one of the most reliable technical indicators to predict future price action, the <strong><a title=\"What Is A Bull Flag?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chartpatterns.com\/flagsandpennants.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bull flag<\/a><\/strong> is definitely one of our favorite bullish chart patterns to identify and profit from.<\/p>\n<p>On the longer-term weekly chart, we clearly see the Nasdaq has been forming a bull flag chart pattern. This is annotated by the black lines we have drawn on the chart below:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"NASDAQ WEEKLY \" alt=\"$NASDAQ WEEKLY BULL FLAG\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130906COMP.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Notice that the rally off the lows in July created the flag pole part of the bull flag pattern, while the current sideways price action forms the flag.<\/p>\n<p>The tight consolidation of the past six weeks has retraced less than one-third of the last wave up. This is what we like to see, as the best-formed bull flag patterns should not pull back to more than a 38.2% <a title=\"Fun With Fibonacci\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/fibonacci-for-swing-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fibonacci retracement<\/a> of last move up.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, since the flag pole and the flag are frequently symmetrical in time, we need to compare how long it took for the pole to form with the length of the flag.<\/p>\n<p>Since the pole was created over the span of six weeks, the anticipated breakout from the bull flag pattern should occur after the flag has formed for 5-7 weeks (we are currently on week 5).<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_Already_Leading_The_Market_Higher\"><\/span><strong>3.) Already Leading The Market Higher<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>When I began trading and studying technical analysis many years ago, I assumed that the main stock market indexes (such as the NASDAQ) led the way for the top-performing stocks to move higher.<\/p>\n<p>I was definitely wrong.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is the opposite situation;<strong> leading individual stocks set the pace for the broad market to follow.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When the strongest stocks in the market (typically small to mid-cap growth stocks) are convincingly breaking out to new highs ahead of the broad-based indexes, it is a very bullish sign and the main stock market indexes usually follow suit.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, it is a bearish signal when the major indices are trending higher, but without clear leadership among individual stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, there is a plethora of stocks that are breaking out to new highs ahead of the NASDAQ.<\/p>\n<p>In no particular order, here are the ticker symbols of a handful of stocks breaking out right now, or have already broken out, to new highs: $QIHU, $LNKD, $TSLA, $NFLX, $KORS, $LOCK, and $YELP.<\/p>\n<p>We are presently long four of the above stocks in our <a title=\"The Wagner Daily newsletter\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wagner Daily newsletter<\/a>, and with the following\u00a0unrealized gains since our original buy entries (based on Sept. 6 closing prices): <strong>YELP +23.2%, <\/strong><strong>LNKD +10.0%,\u00a0<\/strong>LOCK +9.1%, \u00a0and KORS +7.1%.<\/p>\n<p>In case you missed it, you may want to check out <a title=\"Why Yelp Is Now Poised For Low-Risk Swing Trade Buy Entry ($YELP)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/yelp-swing-trade-entry\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">our original August 21 analysis of Yelp ($YELP)<\/a> (<i>before<\/i> it broke out and zoomed higher over the past few days).<\/p>\n<p>You may also be interested in our <a title=\"Potential Pullback Buy Entry In Amazon.com Stock ($AMZN)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/amazon-amzn-pullback-buy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">educational August 26 video analysis of Amazon ($AMZN)<\/a>. In that video, we suggested $AMZN was setting up for a pullback buy entry and would start rallying again after pulling back to the $280 area (it&#8217;s back up to around $296 now).<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Death_And_Taxes_%E2%80%93_The_Only_Sure_Things\"><\/span><strong>Death And Taxes &#8211; The Only Sure Things<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>As my grandmother loved to tell me, &#8220;the only sure things in life are death and taxes.&#8221; I agree, especially when it comes to the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously, the Nasdaq has <em>not<\/em> yet broken out, and there is no guarantee that it will.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the combination of the three reliable technical indicators above suggest a strong likelihood that the tech-heavy index will soon break out of its range and cruise to a new, multi-year high (though the S&amp;P and Dow are another story).<\/p>\n<p>If the Nasdaq suddenly rallies to new highs as anticipated, are you prepared to take advantage of the move? Do you know which stocks will offer the best odds for high profits?<\/p>\n<p>If not, sign up today for your subscription to <strong><a title=\"Sign up for our swing trade newsletter\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">our swing trade newsletter<\/a><\/strong> because our proven trading system means we&#8217;ll be right on top of the hottest stocks ahead of the crowd (in fact, we already are).<\/p>\n<p><em>If you enjoyed this article, please share by clicking the icon of your favorite social network on the left. As always, feel free to drop a comment as well.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><center><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\" async=\"\"><\/script><!-- Footer of content --> <ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 300px; height: 250px;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7565144363001883\" data-ad-slot=\"7002222565\"><\/ins><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For the past six weeks, the NASDAQ Composite Index ($COMP) has been uneventfully oscillating in a sideways trading range (a 3% range from the upper channel resistance down to lower channel support). However, we have identified three highly reliable technical indicators that point to a strong likelihood of the NASDAQ soon breaking out to a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3036"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3036\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11378,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3036\/revisions\/11378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}