{"id":2830,"date":"2013-05-31T07:32:56","date_gmt":"2013-05-31T11:32:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=2830"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:07:24","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:07:24","slug":"agriculture-etf-moo-solar-etf-tan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/agriculture-etf-moo-solar-etf-tan\/","title":{"rendered":"Agriculture ETF Starts Sprouting, As Solar ETF Still Shining Brightly"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Although commodity-based stocks have been a big laggard this year, we have noticed some relative strength in Market Vectors Agribusiness ($MOO). After breaking a long-term downtrend line and successfully testing that line last month, we could possibly see a breakout entry emerge down the road (if the price action remains in a tight range. $MOO is <i>not<\/i> actionable now, but should be added to your radar screen as a potential buy entry. Here is the monthly chart:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$MOO monthly chart \" alt=\"$MOO breakout \" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130531MOO.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dropping down to the weekly time interval, we see the 10-day MA (teal line) above the 40-week MA (orange line). Like the test of the downtrend line on the monthly chart above, we see the same below, with last week&#8217;s test of the downtrend line and the 40-week MA.<\/p>\n<p>For this setup to remain constructive, the price action should hold above the 40-week MA and the higher &#8220;swing low.&#8221; It may take several weeks for the price to tighten up on the right hand side, so we will place $MOO on a second tier watchlist (one that is reviewed only on the weekends):<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$MOO weekly chart \" alt=\"$MOO weekly consolidation \" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130531MOO2.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>After finding support around the $23 area, Guggenheim Solar ETF ($TAN) continues to push higher, above the rising 10-day MA. As you may recall from <a title=\"Top 3 ETFs To Buy As Stock Market Pulls Back\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/top-3-etfs-buy-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this recent blog post<\/a>, we&#8217;re holding a long position in this ETF (currently showing an unrealized gain of 10.5% since our May 23 pullback entry). The daily chart below details the support in $TAN:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$TAN daily chart \" alt=\"$TAN swing trade \" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130531TAN.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Should $TAN fail to punch through the $26 level and pull back in (for a week or two), there is solid support from the uptrend line and the 20-day EMA around $23. Overall, this ETF continues to show great relative strength as the broad market consolidates.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to $TAN, we also bought Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF ($SMH) when it pulled back on May 23. It too continues to act well, and closed yesterday right at resistance of its prior swing highs from mid-May. As such, we are selling partial share size on today&#8217;s open, just to lock in a decent gain on this short-term momentum trade. We will trail a protective stop higher on the remaining shares.<\/p>\n<p>As mentioned earlier this week, our ETF scans have not produced much in the way actionable setups, so a short-term break in the market should eventually produce some low-risk buy points. Until then, we will simply remain patient and focus on managing existing positions.<\/p>\n<p><em>The commentary above is a shortened version of the May 31 issue of The Wagner Daily swing trade newsletter. Sign up today for your risk-free 30-day trial subscription by <a title=\"The Wagner Daily\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">clicking here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Although commodity-based stocks have been a big laggard this year, we have noticed some relative strength in Market Vectors Agribusiness ($MOO). After breaking a long-term downtrend line and successfully testing that line last month, we could possibly see a breakout entry emerge down the road (if the price action remains in a tight range. $MOO [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2830"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11590,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2830\/revisions\/11590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}