{"id":2305,"date":"2012-11-21T06:56:05","date_gmt":"2012-11-21T11:56:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=2305"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:07:28","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:07:28","slug":"etfs-buy-now-eev-tmf-smn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/etfs-buy-now-eev-tmf-smn\/","title":{"rendered":"3 ETFs Technically Setting Up For Buy Entry Now ($EEV, $TMF, $SMN)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One ETF we are stalking for technical swing trading buy entry today is <strong>ProShares UltraShort Emerging Markets ETF ($EEV)<\/strong>, an inversely correlated <em>short ETF<\/em>. As you can see on the chart below, EEV broke out above a six-month downtrend last week, and has now pulled back to near-term support of its 20-day exponential moving average, which recently crossed above the 50-day moving average. This is a bullish trend reversal signal. With the ETF moving higher in yesterday&#8217;s session, but closing just below the previous day&#8217;s (November 19) low, we are now monitoring EEV as a potential short-term trade above the two-day high. Subscribers to <strong><a title=\"MorpheusTrading.com\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">our swing trading service<\/a><\/strong> should note our exact entry, stop, and target prices for this short-term momentum trade setup in the <em>ETF Watchlist<\/em> section of today&#8217;s newsletter. The technical trade setup for EEV is shown on the daily chart below:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$EEV pulls back to support\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/121121$EEVpullback.png\" alt=\"$EEV pullback to support\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Although the main stock market indexes were flat yesterday, there were at least two ETFs we have been monitoring that pulled back to near-term technical support levels. Specifically, they retraced to test or &#8220;undercut&#8221; their 20-day exponential moving averages. One of those ETFs was <strong>Direxion 20-Year Treasury Bull 3x ($TMF)<\/strong>, a fixed-income ETF that roughly follows the price of the US long-term treasury bond, but is leveraged at a 3 to 1 ratio. Last week, we sold this ETF for a substantial trading profit, after it broke out above resistance of a four-month downtrend line. However, the ETF has remained on our radar as a potential swing trade re-entry on a pullback. The current pullback that followed the recent breakout above the downtrend line is shown on the daily chart of TMF below:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$TMF pulls back to support\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/121121$TMFpullback.png\" alt=\"$TMF pullback to support\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, TMF sold off sharply yesterday, and closed just below near-term technical support of its 20-day exponential moving average. Such a price retracement off its recent highs provides a low-risk re-entry point to buy this ETF. However, <strong>remember that we do not blindly try to anticipate where a pullback will end and find support.<\/strong> Rather, we must now wait for the formation of a bullish reversal candlestick within the next several days, then look to buy TMF above the previous day&#8217;s high, which would confirm the pullback off the highs has ended, and TMF is likely to resume its bullish trend reversal. Therefore, although TMF is not yet listed on today&#8217;s watchlist as an &#8220;official&#8221; buy entry, it is now on our internal watchlist as a potential technical swing trade setup we are monitoring for the proper trigger point for buy entry.<\/p>\n<p>Another ETF with a similar pattern is <strong>ProShares UltraShort Basic Materials ETF ($SMN)<\/strong>, another <em>short ETF<\/em>. After buying the breakout above its downtrend line, <strong>we sold this ETF into strength last week for a 9.2% gain on an 8-day holding period<\/strong> (<strong><a title=\"Recap of trading Short ETFs\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/how-to-trade-short-etfs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a><\/strong> for a quick educational video recap of the technical setup of this recent swing trade). Now, it has pulled back to near-term support of its 20-day EMA, but probably needs another day or two to either &#8220;undercut&#8221; support of the 20-day EMA, or at least form a bullish reversal candle, before we would look for an actual re-entry point into this ETF. Like TMF, this setup in SMN has been added to our internal watchlist as a potential near-term buy entry. The daily chart pattern of SMN is shown below:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"$TMF pulls back to support\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/121121$SMNpullback.png\" alt=\"$SMN pullback to support\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Going into yesterday&#8217;s session, we were stalking <strong>SPDR S&amp;P Homebuilders ETF ($XHB)<\/strong> as a potential short sale entry <em>if<\/em> it traded below the November 19 low. However, the ETF opened slightly higher, then rallied to close near the previous day&#8217;s high. As such, the ETF did <em>NOT<\/em> trigger for short sale entry, and has been temporarily removed from our &#8220;official&#8221; watchlist as a swing trade setup. Whenever we list a swing trading setup that does not hit our trigger price, we don&#8217;t care because there is <strong><a title=\"Learn why there is no harm and no foul when trade setups do not trigger\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/swing-trades-no-harm-no-foul\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;no harm, no foul&#8221; for disciplined traders<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"border: 2px solid blue; padding: 10px; background: #ffe;\">To receive the exact entry, stop, and target prices for our best daily ETF and stock picks for consistent swing trading profits, subscribe to <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a title=\"The Wagner Daily\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><em>The Wagner Daily<\/em><\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span> newsletter today. To learn how to trade our winning ETF and stock trading strategy and improve your trading education, check out our <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a title=\"Learn about our stock trading course\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">online stock trading course<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span>.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One ETF we are stalking for technical swing trading buy entry today is ProShares UltraShort Emerging Markets ETF ($EEV), an inversely correlated short ETF. As you can see on the chart below, EEV broke out above a six-month downtrend last week, and has now pulled back to near-term support of its 20-day exponential moving average, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2305","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2305"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2305\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11680,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2305\/revisions\/11680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2305"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2305"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2305"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}