Comments on: Why Our Stock Market Timing Model Is About To Trigger A “Sell” Signal https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/ Learn how to swing trade explosive growth stocks and top cryptos with a proven stock trading strategy since 2002. Wed, 06 Apr 2022 19:05:04 +0000 hourly 1 By: frank https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-7324 Fri, 25 Jul 2014 20:54:01 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-7324 kind of missed that one.

]]> By: Deron Wagner https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2298 Fri, 14 Feb 2014 00:14:25 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2298 In reply to ryan.

Hi Ryan,

Appreciate the follow-up comment. No worries on our end, as we certainly understand how mentally challenging this business can be at times.

I see that you just signed up for The Wagner Daily newsletter, so we will work hard to help turn things around for you.

We pride ourselves on truly giving a personal touch with helping our traders. As such, please try to attend the live “members only” webinars every Monday and Wednesday, as they really help on the education side.

Also, if you don’t have another daytime job and can attend the live mentorship room the first 2 hours every day, that would be great too.

Enjoy and good trading to you.

Deron

]]> By: ryan https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2297 Thu, 13 Feb 2014 23:10:24 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2297 Thank you for your response. First of all clearly it was my fault, I left this message yesterday but somehow I screwed up and it didn’t take, I wasn’t referring to this post in terms of your timing, I was blaming you for my mistake, my bad. Secondly it might be because I’m frustrated, not at you, but ever since the Fed has created more debt from 2009-2012 than all of US History I can’t make a call to save my life. How can one make calls in an artificial market where there is a puppet master pulling the strings? “bad call” as you clearly pointed out was probably not the right choice of words. Again it goes back to my initial issue with the market, that it’s on puppet strings as it should clearly go down for a variety of reasons. I appreciate the response and as a result I’m going to sign up. AND SEE if we can avoid more “bad calls” than good. LOL. thanks, ryan

]]> By: Deron Wagner https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2296 Thu, 13 Feb 2014 21:07:43 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2296 In reply to ryan.

Hi Ryan,

Your question you asked was only a few hours ago, and it sometimes takes us a day or two to approve the comments.

Actually, this was not a “bad call” because our market timing system is rule-based and the parameters of the system simply caused the model to shift to “sell” signal.

Furthermore, as our newsletter subscribers already know, WE STILL ARE (as of this morning) on a sell signal because the price action in the S&P and Dow have not confirmed the relative strength in the NASDAQ.

Further, the volume patterns are not confirming either.

Nevertheless, even though our timing model is on a “sell” signal, we stll remain long quite a few positions in our newsletter, several of which are showing rather sizeable unrealized gains because we held them through the correction. A sell signal does NOT mean we panic and sell our best winning trades.

When we enter a sell signal, we do not necessarily sell all our stocks, though we tighten stops to reduce risk. It simply means we avoid new long entries, which we still are until we get confirmation in the S&P and NASDAQ.

Bottom line is that we have continued to make money on the long side of the market, despite the sell signal. We merely have reduced risk on the long side (and have NOT entered any new short positions yet either). Wagner Daily newsletter subscribers know this because we update our open positions and watchlist every day…nothing to hide here.

Based on today’s action, our timing system may actually trigger back into a “buy” signal by tomorrow, but that still would not make it a “bad” call. The timing system just tells us how much money to risk, and on which side of the market.

Hope that clears things up for you. Thanks for your comments.

]]> By: ryan https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2293 Thu, 13 Feb 2014 18:01:00 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2293 I asked a question and it was never posted? What about the fact the market has rocketed up since this email? Do bad calls get ignored and not explained? Is that how it goes? I’m confused.

]]> By: Digital options trading https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2279 Mon, 10 Feb 2014 08:55:34 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2279 Simply wanted to say I recognize your blogs and am looking ahead for more to return!

]]> By: Deron Wagner https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2226 Tue, 04 Feb 2014 19:08:20 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2226 In reply to Jim Carter.

Hey Jim,

No problem. Glad you found the analysis helpful.

I’m certainly not a perfect trader, but I’ve been doing this long enough to know the objective, reliable signals that precede market corrections.

Cheers,

Deron

]]> By: Jim Carter https://morpheustrading.com/blog/timing-model-sell-mode/#comment-2173 Sat, 01 Feb 2014 15:14:28 +0000 http://www.morpheustrading.com/blog/?p=3692#comment-2173 Great Deron, thanks for the update. I’ll go review my charts and confirm we are looking our our signals correctly. It is always good to have a professional like yourself lead the pack, and, show confirming signs.

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